Studies from a number of sources in Taipei point out that the Republic of China Army is planning to deploy M142 HIMARS rocket artillery methods outfitted with ATACMS ballistic missiles to the islands of Penghu and Dongyin, extending their strike ranges deeper into the territory of the Chinese language mainland. The Army Command acknowledged that this may strengthen the effectiveness of its “kill chain.” Native media studies recommend that the Republic of China Ministry of Defence’s choice to extend its procurements of HIMARS methods to a complete of 111 models was taken particularly with the choice to deploy them to ahead islands in thoughts. The Republic of China based mostly in Taipei stays in a state of civli warfare with the internationally recognised Folks’s Republic of China based mostly in Beijing, with each claiming to be the only real authentic Chinese language governments. The previous has continued to rely outstandingly closely on political and navy provides from the US.
Dongyin, the northernmost island of the Matsu archipelago within the East China Sea, is situated lower than 10 kilometres from the mainland coast of China. It is among the closest Republic of China managed territories to the Chinese language mainland. Ballistic missile deployments to the island would characterize an unprecedented escalation, and place key industrial targets throughout a lot of Fujian province inside vary. Missile deployments by the Republic of China Armed Forces have not too long ago gained greatergeopolitical significance because of the U.S. Armed Forces’ gaining of latest authority to coordinate the Forces’ ballistic and cruise missile arsenals. The institution of a Joint Firepower Coordination Centre by the Republic of China Ministry of Nationwide Defence in late January noticed U.S. personnel completely stationed on the facility in Taipei to supervise planning and potential use of native missile forces.
In keeping with native analysts, the institution of the Joint Firepower Coordination Centre offers “U.S. help and supervision” when utilizing missile arsenals, and permits the Republic of China Armed Forces to obtain intelligence from the U.S. Joint Digital Firepower System. Most importantly, it permits U.S. forces to pick out targets and finalising assault plans collectively with native forces, probably permitting strategic targets resembling essential infrastructure, and analysis centres in expertise areas which the Western world has tried to stifle by means of financial sanctions to be focused kinetically. Washington has taken steps to strengthen the ATACMS ballistic missile arsenal within the Taiwan Strait, and in December 2025 accepted a $11.1 billion arms sale that included the switch of 420 extra of the missiles. The primary batch of 11 launchers had been delivered in November 2024, whereas the primary unit outfitted with them was fashioned in early July 2025.
America has achieved appreciable successes in destroying strategic and tactical targets in Russia by supplying ATACMS to the Ukrainain Army, and offering each personnel assist on the bottom, and focusing on and intelligence assist, elevating issues that there may very well be the same intention to make use of the methods within the Taiwan Strait to trigger mass destruction on the Chinese language mainland. Examples of successes achieved utilizing ATACMS have included the destruction of launchers and radars from S-400 air defence methods, the destruction of different radar methods, the neutralisation of Russian Iskander-M ballistic missile launchers, and the destruction of excessive worth fight plane on their runways. Strikes have additionally been launched towards strategic targets, together with these associated to the Russian power trade.
Dealing with the specter of ballistic missile assaults, the Chinese language Folks’s Liberation Army has developed what’s extensively considered the world’s most succesful multi-layered anti missile networks, which is constructed round a variety of superior and complementary belongings deployed each on land and at sea. In September 2025 was confirmed that the brand new HQ-29 anti-ballistic missile system had entered service, which is the world’s solely cell system with the power to shoot down hypersonic vary ballistic missiles apart from the Russian S-500 and A-235. The HQ-19 has supplied a second excessive tier anti-missile functionality beneath the HQ-29, broadly similar to that of the American THAAD system, which is perfect for intercepting intermediate vary assaults.
The HQ-9 varieties a tier beneath this as a typical lengthy vary system broadly analogous to the Russian S-400 and American MIM-104 Patriot. The ATACMS has confirmed susceptible to being shot down by much less succesful air defence methods deployed by Russia, regardless of the a lot wider frontier for assaults from Ukraine dispersing Russian defences in ways in which assaults by Republic of China forces can not. The strengths of the mainland’s defences, and of its precision strike capabilities to neutralise launchers on the bottom, are among the many elements which are anticipated to restrict the injury that may be brought on by ATACMS assaults.
