Is It Too Late for a Ukrainian Counteroffensive in Kherson?


Russian forces have reached the border of Ukraine’s southern Mykolaiv area, in accordance with high navy officers.

“Because of navy operations within the Kherson-Nikolaev [“Mykolaiv” in Ukrainian] course, within the Alexandrovka space, allied forces destroyed items of the twenty eighth mechanized brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and have reached the executive border of the Nikolaev area,” introduced Russian Protection Ministry spokesman Lt. Gen Igor Konashenkov in a briefing. Konashenkov added that thirty-six sq. kilometers of the territory of the Kherson area have been taken underneath Russian management. “Allied forces” is the time period Moscow makes use of to confer with the mixed operations of the Russian navy and Russian-aligned troops belonging to the separatist Donetsk and Luhansk Folks’s Republics (DPR and LPR). Russia’s claimed advances in southern Ukraine haven’t been independently corroborated.

The claimed progress of Russian forces comes on the heels of long-standing assurances by high Kyiv officers that Ukraine’s armed forces are planning a large-scale counteroffensive within the Kherson area. “You could search for a option to depart as a result of our armed forces will de-occupy. There might be an enormous battle. I don’t need to scare anybody, everybody understands all the pieces anyway,” mentioned Ukrainian deputy prime minister Iryna Vereshchuk at first of July. “It’s clear there might be preventing, there might be artillery shelling… and we subsequently urge [people] to evacuate urgently.

There are few concrete indicators that Ukrainian forces are actually making ready for a serious assault within the south, with navy specialists noting that the window for such a marketing campaign probably now not exists. “If there was a window of alternative to strike the Russians on this area a couple of weeks in the past, I believe that it has now handed,” protection analyst Konrad Muzyka advised the Moscow Instances. Latest Ukrainian strikes towards tender Russian targets within the Crimea and Kherson areas, together with bridges, ammunition depots, and airbases, haven’t been adopted by important Ukrainian floor advances.

Senior Kyiv officers reportedly advised that their claims of an imminent counteroffensive have been a part of a deliberate disinformation marketing campaign focused on the Russian navy. “Was it IPSO? After all, at present all public feedback are a part of the IPSO. We have to demoralize the Russian military. They need to perceive that there’ll all the time be a territory of fireplace right here, that they are going to be burned right here. That is key,” mentioned Ukrainian presidential advisor Mikhailo Podolyak when requested in an interview with the BBC if Kyiv’s Kherson counteroffensive claims have been a part of a information-psychological operation (IPSO), higher recognized in English as a psychological operation (PSYOP).

The British Protection Ministry assessed earlier this month that Russia is repositioning massive numbers of troops to Ukrainian southern occupied territories “in anticipation of Ukraine’s counter-offensive or in preparation for a potential assault.” Senior Ukrainian navy official Oleskiy Gromov advised reporters in August that Russian forces could also be planning to launch an offensive within the broader Kherson area.

Mark Episkopos is a nationwide safety reporter for the Nationwide Curiosity.

Picture: Reuters.



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