Moscow refuses to confront downed Tu-22 realities

Within the early morning of April 19, a Russian Tu-22M3 strategic bomber fell from the sky within the Stavropol area of Russia. The 4 crew members ejected because the rear engine was engulfed in flames. Three had been discovered and evacuated, however the fourth was sadly reported lifeless through line 112—Russian emergency numbers and helplines. The Kremlin was fast to declare a “technical malfunction” because the trigger, hoping the 300 km distance from Stavropol to Ukraine could be accepted as “unimaginable for Ukrainian forces” to shoot down a airplane up to now into Russia. 

Picture credit score: The Nationwide Curiosity

Nonetheless, Ukraine’s perspective is totally different. They declare that an upgraded Soviet S-200 air protection system shot down the Russian bomber proper the place it was reported—300 km from Ukraine. The Ministry of Protection of Ukraine even revealed a video capturing the second of the operation to eradicate the airplane, which minutes earlier than had “despatched” Kh-22 [Kitchen] missiles over Odesa. Formally, Kyiv took accountability, eliminating any doubts in regards to the alleged “technical malfunction”.

Russia seldom admits that an enemy has shot down its warplane. Naturally, this doesn’t work in Moscow’s or Russian residents’ favor, as the inaccurate impression creates extra native questions than the Kremlin would favor to reply. Take as an example the latest terrorist assault in Moscow— the Kremlin was fast to assign culpability to Ukraine, absolutely conscious that acknowledging the presence of terrorist cells on Russian soil would elevate unanswerable questions on intelligence penetrations and safety lapses. This turns into extra questionable contemplating that warnings from the West had been evident weeks earlier than the disastrous occasion. However that’s a subject for one more day… 

russian / soviet S-200 missile system
Picture credit score: Twitter

The Kremlin is reticent to debate how Russian Aerospace Forces [VKS] allowed a Tu-22M3 to be shot down by a Ukrainian missile. Not as a result of it’s implausible, however as a result of it raises awkward questions. For example, hasn’t the Kremlin realized but that when a nation is defending itself, it might counter-attack utilizing all means essential to safeguard its sovereignty?  Does Moscow nonetheless consider that the warfare is confined to Ukraine’s “yard” and can keep contained there? If, from Moscow’s perspective, this “army particular operation” is about defending nationwide Russian pursuits and sovereignty, what about Ukraine’s place?

The lack of the primary Tu-22M3 bomber is hardly a problem for the Russian command, as Russia possesses over 100 such bombers. Nonetheless, the downing of the T-22M3 is a relentless nightmare for the Kremlin, a fact they’d a lot fairly not face. This incident is just not a one-off. Comparable incidents, such because the downing of the Russian A-50 early warning airplane, the Il-76 transport carrying Ukrainian prisoners of warfare, or the charred quad launchers of the S-400 anti-aircraft system noticed simply days in the past on the Crimean Dzhankoi air base, are value contemplating. Even the flagship of the Black Sea Fleet, Moskva, was worn out practically two years in the past. Let’s not neglect their vital missile carriers, battleships, and vessels. 

Russia appears to be waging an analog warfare akin to these of the Eighties. Missing the highly effective manufacturing capability of the Russian Federation, Ukraine depends not solely by itself assets but additionally closely on Western army tools. In actuality, Ukraine at the moment boasts a protection technique much more superior and substantial than Russia’s, particularly relating to home offensives.

'Our norm is 120 posts per day'. The life of a Kremlin troll
Picture credit score: DW

As we’ve beforehand mentioned, the Tu-22M3 is just not the one important asset Russia is sacrificing. From the present maneuvers of the Russian Common Command, it appears sure there can be extra to come back. In an unrecognized nightmare, Russia lives with the fixed menace of a ‘weaker’ Ukraine attacking it – anytime, anyplace. Ukrainian strikes on key power and fuel constructions inside Russia exacerbate this case.

Including additional to this, whereas Ukraine is on a defensive entrance, it isn’t halting its growth. For example, the Sokol 300, a drone able to reaching the distant Arctic bases of the Russian Air Pressure in a single flight, poses a menace. These bases are from the place the Tu-22, Tu-95, and Tu-160 anxiously take off to strike Ukrainian positions. But, the day will not be far when experiences of drone assaults reaching Murmansk are learn and losses tallied through satellite tv for pc photographs.

The earlier the Kremlin acknowledges the downing of the Tu-22M3 by the Ukrainian armed forces as way more than a mere ‘technical malfunction’ and begins to acknowledge Ukrainian progress, the earlier their nightmare would possibly finish.

It's possible now for Russia to send a Tu-22M3 bomber to Syria
Picture credit score: Wikipedia

Till such a time, Russian society will go on with out elevating questions on their nation’s safety. You see, immediately Russia is simply as susceptible as Ukraine. The one distinction is Ukrainians don’t possess the magnitude of weapons that the Russians do. In any other case, there’s no distinction. Aside from the nightmare the Kremlin refuses to concede to dreaming.

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