Russia activated 16 Tu-95MS bombers and 12 MiG-31s

On January 2nd, 2024, it’s projected that the Russian Federation will as soon as once more unleash a huge array of its accessible weaponry in a long-range assault in opposition to Ukraine. Kindly keep in mind that this text is rooted in tentative knowledge retrieved from Ukrainian Air Pressure transmissions regarding aerial threats, and we’ll replace the small print as verified data turns into accessible. 

Picture credit score: Russian MoD

The anticipated assault is slated to provoke round 10:00 pm on January 1st, predominantly that includes the deployment of Shahed-136 air-to-air missiles from Crimea and Primorsko-Akhtarsk, situated within the Krasnodar area. About 5 hours later, a variety of these projectiles are predicted to penetrate central areas, together with Kyiv. Present projections account for 36 Shaheds in complete, however none are anticipated to succeed in their supposed goal. In line with the Ukrainian Air Pressure Command, all missiles will likely be neutralized. 

Concurrently, because the final of the Shahed missiles succumb to anti-missile efforts, Russian Tu-95MS strategic bombers, departing from Olenya airport within the Murmansk area, are projected to method their goal space. As per the reviews, the fleet of 16 planes could be divided into two teams: one anticipated to strike at 6 am, whereas the opposite adopted an hour later. 

Russia has lifted Tu-95 strategic missile bombers into the air
Picture credit score: Wikipedia

The timeline means that round 7:30 am, the Russian Federation would possible make use of its ballistic weaponry, main off with a disorderly assault utilizing the S-300/400 Kharkiv air protection system. 

By 07:39 am, it’s anticipated {that a} salvo of 9 MiG-31K Kh-47 Kinzhal “hypersonic missiles” will likely be dispatched, presumably with Kyiv and doubtlessly Kharkiv being their major targets. Moreover, a number of launches of extra Kh-47 Kinzhal missiles are anticipated, implying the deployment of all 12 carriers of those missiles belonging to the Russian Federation on January 2nd. 

The attainable presence of Tu-22M3 missile carriers outfitted with Kh-22 missiles has additionally been speculated by unofficial sources. At 9 am, the airspace over central Ukraine will possible see the arrival of cruise missiles, launched by the second group of Tu-95MS, heading in direction of Kyiv. 

Russian VKS will receive modernized Tu-22M3M long-range bombers
Picture credit score: Wikipedia

There exists a risk of the deployment of Kalibr cruise missiles originating from the Black Sea. As per the morning knowledge from the Navy of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as much as 20 items of those missiles may doubtlessly be unleashed in a single salvo. By 10 am, the risk in most areas is anticipated to be efficiently neutralized, returning a sense of calm to the rumor-tossed morning.

2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine

On February 21, 2022, Russia said that its border facility was attacked by Ukrainian forces, ensuing within the deaths of 5 Ukrainian fighters. Nevertheless, Ukraine shortly dismissed these allegations, labeling them as ‘false flags’

Russia says it is mass-producing the Kh-47M2 Kinzhal missile
Picture by Alexey Kudenko

In a notable transfer on the identical day, Russia introduced it formally acknowledged the self-proclaimed areas of DPR and LPR. Curiously, in accordance with Russian President Putin, this recognition coated all of the Ukrainian areas. Following this declaration, Putin despatched a battalion of Russia’s navy forces, tanks included, into these areas.

Quick ahead to February 24, 2022, world headlines had been dominated by a vital incident. Putin commanded a forceful navy assault on Ukraine. Led by Russia’s spectacular Armed Forces positioned on the Ukrainian border, this assault wasn’t spontaneous however a premeditated motion. Regardless of the circumstances resembling a struggle, the Russian authorities refrains from utilizing this time period. They’d quite check with it as a “particular navy operation”.

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